Over the years, many writers have implied that statistics can provide almost any result that is convenient at the time. Of course, honest practitioners use statistics in an attempt to quantify the ...

Bayes' theorem, also called Bayes' rule or Bayesian theorem, is a mathematical formula used to determine the conditional probability of events. The theorem uses the power of statistics and probability ...

A while back one of my students, “Frank,” a real smarty-pants, started babbling about something called Bayes’ theorem. He wrote a long, dense paper about the theorem’s revelatory power, which had ...

Having a strong opinion about an issue can make it hard to take in new information about it, or to consider other options when they’re presented. Thankfully, there’s an old rule that can help us avoid ...

Google has a small fleet of robotic cars that since autumn have driven themselves for thousands of miles on the streets of northern California without once striking a pedestrian, running a stoplight ...

How likely you think something is to happen depends on what you already believe about the circumstances. That is the simple ...

Although Bayes's theorem demands a prior that is a probability distribution on the parameter space, the calculus associated with Bayes's theorem sometimes generates sensible procedures from improper ...

A simple LSD (least significant difference) rule is presented for simultaneously testing the differences between n treatments considered in all possible pairs. This rule is a simpler, fully completed, ...

An international team of researchers have successfully derived a quantum version of Bayes’ rule, a cornerstone of probability theory ...

Searchers are feeling overwhelmed by the task of locating the wreckage of missing Malaysian Airlines Flight 370. "We're not searching for a needle in a haystack — we're still trying to define where ...