YR4 has a 2.8% to 3.1% chance of hitting Earth in 2032. Astronomers are tracking it to refine estimates of its size and orbit to see how much of a risk the space rock poses.
It is estimated that ~25 million meteoroids, micrometeoroids, and other space debris enter Earth’s atmosphere each day, and ...
The impact probability of Asteroid 2024 YR4 has just been raised to 3.1%—the highest ever recorded for a near-Earth object!
YR4 once held a 3.1% impact chance, with the power of 500 Hiroshima bombs. Though the risk dropped, future asteroid threats ...